After a wild start to the knockout round, just eight teams remain in the 2018 World Cup.
The "side of death" has lived up to its name so far, with some tense football eliminating the likes of Ronaldo and Messi. Still, there's plenty of great matches to be played before a champion emerges to lift the trophy.
Below we take stock of every team's chances as they stand just four wins away from World Cup glory.
Chances to win based on FiveThirtyEight's Soccer Power Index ratings.
Here's the knockout bracket heading into the quarterfinals of the tournament:
The first round of the knockout stage saw some heavy hitters fall — both Ronaldo and Messi will be watching the rest of the tournament from home after the losses of Portugal and Argentina, and Spain's disappointing showing against Russia makes the path to the final on the right side of the bracket look even easier than expected.
Regardless of matchups and paths, now just eight teams remain with a chance to lift the trophy.
You can keep up with the schedule and all of the results of the World Cup as they happen here.
8. Russia
Chance to win: 5%
Quarterfinals opponent: Croatia (July 7)
One thing to know: While it wasn't pretty, the host nation pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the tournament, eliminating Spain in a penalty shootout after playing a compact defense against an uninspired Spanish attack to a 1-1 draw. They might be at the bottom of these rankings, but anything can happen in a single match, and it might not be wise to bet against the home team.
7. Sweden
Chance to win: 6%
Quarterfinals opponent: England (July 7)
One thing to know: Sweden has not missed the presence of self-proclaimed soccer god Zlatan Ibrahimovic, having already secured the country's best World Cup finish since 1994.
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